Prediction Markets

Next French presidential election winner?

Marine Le Pen

Édouard Philippe

Alberta Separation Process Referendum passes?

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Gadi Eizenkot

Benjamin Netanyahu

Taipei mayoral election winner?

Chiang Wan-an

Shen Bo-yang

Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Édouard Philippe

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro

Delcy Rodríguez

Who will be Argentina's Peronist presidential nominee?

Axel Kicillof

Sergio Massa

Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round)

Marine Le Pen

Édouard Philippe

Will PP and Vox win 50% of the vote in Spain's election?

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Kostadin Kostadinov

Andrey Gyurov

Alberta referendum: Remain vote share?

At least 70%

At least 75%

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Andrey Gyurov

Iliana Yotova

Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?

Amazonas

Pará

Will anyone win outright in the Cape Verde presidential election?

Bulgarian presidential election winner?

Iliana Yotova

Andrey Gyurov

Chief Minister of the Isle of Man after their election?

Chris Thomas

David Ashford

Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory

Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%

Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%

When will Ukraine hold a presidential election?

Before 2030

Before 2029

New Taipei mayoral election winner?

Su Chiao-hui

Lee Shu-chuan

Toronto mayoral election winner?

Olivia Chow

Brad Bradford

Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Édouard Philippe

Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

Pedro Sánchez

Taiwan Local Elections winner?

Kuomintang

Democratic Progressive Party

Oshawa mayoral election winner?

Tito-Dante Marimpietri

Derek Giberson

Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?

Itamar Ben-Gvir

Yoram Cohen

Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)

Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1%

Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥10%

When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

Vancouver mayoral election winner?

Pete Fry

Ken Sim

Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election?

Michael Malchieli

Avigdor Lieberman

Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?

Aleksandar Vučić

Miloš Vučević

Serbian parliamentary election winner?

SNS-led list

Student list

Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent

At least 52.5%

At least 53%

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